In this video, CNN data analyst Harry Enten examines shifting public opinion on Benjamin Netanyahu and Israel, as well as the narrowing landscape of the 2026 U.S. midterm elections.
Netanyahu and Israel's U.S. Popularity (0:00 - 2:22): Public confidence in Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has dropped significantly, with 59% of Americans now expressing a lack of confidence in his handling of world affairs, up from 42% in 2023. Enten notes an unexpected trend: while younger Democrats are critical, older Democrats (50+) are actually more likely (81%) to report a lack of confidence than those under 50 (73%). Conversely, there is a stark age gap among Republicans, with a majority of younger Republicans (58%) lacking confidence, compared to only 30% of older Republicans.
Tightening Midterm Margins (2:22 - 5:56): Despite President Donald Trump's low approval ratings on the economy (70% disapproval), Democrats have not gained a significant advantage in the generic congressional ballot. Their lead has narrowed from six points in March to just three points—a statistical tossup. Enten explains that redistricting has made it more difficult for Democrats to win the House, as they now likely need to win the national popular vote by three to four points rather than just a simple majority.
Democrats' Outlook (5:56 - 9:36): While Democrats remain the favorites to retake the House, their margin of error has shrunk drastically. Prediction markets show their chances have fallen to approximately 76% from a higher peak previously. Enten emphasizes that while it is not a "redistricting nightmare," it is a "bad dream" that requires Democrats to outperform current polling to secure a majority.
Trump's Approval on China (9:36 - 12:18): President Trump's approval rating regarding China has plummeted. In his first term, he held a positive net approval of +9, which has since shifted to a -15 in his second term. Enten highlights a massive swing in sentiment among independents and non-white voters, noting that while the U.S. image on China has declined under the current administration, global approval of China itself has shown relative improvement.
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